Risks on the horizon: Insights for a resilient future

‘Risks on the Horizon’ is designed to arm policymakers and risk managers with insights needed to navigate and influence the multiple potential futures that lie ahead. In an age marked by systemic polycrises such as pandemics, climate events, and...

Global catastrophic risk assessment

Global catastrophic and existential risks hold the potential to threaten human civilization. Addressing these risks is crucial for ensuring humans’ long-term survival and flourishing. Motivated by the gravity of these risks, Congress passed the Global...

The forces of chance

The social world doesn’t work how we pretend it does. Too often, we are led to believe it is a structured, ordered system defined by clear rules and patterns. The economy, apparently, runs on supply-and-demand curves. Politics is a science. Even human beliefs can be...