Life in the Global Polycrisis

The Long View

— 21 July 2024 —
Jul 08 2024

Positive Pathways report

by Michael Lawrence and Megan Shipman …..The Cascade Institute’s analysis on positive pathways through polycrisis

Jul 08 2024

The view from Nairobi-Washington

by Tim Sahay and Kate Mackenzie in Phenomenal World…It is good for Southern elites to win such technology investments. But while the New Washington Consensus delivers full employment and trillions in deficit-financed welfarism and public investments in the North, the Nairobi-Washington vision for which Ruto is a stand-in is insufficient for fostering prosperity across the South—where debt-stressed countries with soaring joblessness are imposing class war austerity and privatization, amid Western intransigence in delivering touted financial architecture reforms.

Jul 06 2024

The disruption nexus

by Roman Krznaric in aeon.com….Polycrisis. Metacrisis. Omnicrisis. Permacrisis. Call it what you like. We are immersed in an age of extreme turbulence and interconnected global threats. The system is starting to flicker – chronic droughts, melting glaciers, far-Right extremism, AI risk, bioweapons, rising food and energy prices, rampant viruses, cyberattacks.

Jul 13 2024

Is there a future in the doomsday economy?

by Alexander Nazaryan in The New York Times….With Fortitude Ranch, the entrepreneur Drew Miller is betting on franchised timeshares for people who are worried...
Jul 18 2024

The new hot wars

by Jeremy Brecher in Znetwork…The most blatant marker of the polycrisis is the burgeoning of war and preparation for war.

Jul 08 2024

The Strategic Foresight Book

by Ben Holt of IFRC Solferino Academy in The Strategic Foresight Book….Strategic foresight is a practical way to explore emerging issues and uncover new options...
Jul 18 2024

Extreme wildfires have doubled in frequency and intensity in the past 20 years

by Victor Fernandez Garcia & Christina Santin in Wired.com….The doubling in extreme wildfires adds to a complex picture of fire patterns and trends. This new...
Jul 20 2024

Outage for Microsoft users knocks out systems for airlines and hospitals in chaotic day

by Adam Satariano, et al in The New York Times…Companies across the world reported disruptions, citing technical issues from a cybersecurity software...

"What we do: Hope & heartbreak & all points of view."

Omega

Pandemics

Long Covid Research Roundup: What have we learned in the first half of 2024?

by Katelyn Jetelina in Your Local Epidemiologist…What we knew: The number of people who get LC after infection has ranged dramatically from 2% to 75%. Reasons for this include differing definitions—for example, some define LC as persistent symptoms 4 weeks after infection, while some use 3 months, and others 6 months.

How scared should you be of bird flu?

by Jennifer B. Nuzzo in The New York Times….No one knows whether H5N1, if left unchecked, will become the deadly pandemic that public health experts like me worry it could. Many of us have been watching H5N1 with alarm for more than 20 years.

Polycrisis

The new hot wars

by Jeremy Brecher in Znetwork…The most blatant marker of the polycrisis is the burgeoning of war and preparation for war.

Positive Pathways report

by Michael Lawrence and Megan Shipman …..The Cascade Institute’s analysis on positive pathways through polycrisis

The view from Nairobi-Washington

by Tim Sahay and Kate Mackenzie in Phenomenal World…It is good for Southern elites to win such technology investments. But while the New Washington Consensus delivers full employment and trillions in deficit-financed welfarism and public investments in the North, the Nairobi-Washington vision for which Ruto is a stand-in is insufficient for fostering prosperity across the South—where debt-stressed countries with soaring joblessness are imposing class war austerity and privatization, amid Western intransigence in delivering touted financial architecture reforms.

Resilience

The Strategic Foresight Book

by Ben Holt of IFRC Solferino Academy in The Strategic Foresight Book….Strategic foresight is a practical way to explore emerging issues and uncover new options for action. It helps us anticipate challenges, engage with uncertainty and sharpen our decision making. It is also a powerful way to connect with communities and imagine new possibilities.

Endowing the future

by Civic Square and Dark Matter Labs, Endowing the Future is a chapter in …..The Neighbourhood Public Square seeks to demonstrate regenerative civic infrastructure at the heart of Ladywood, Birmingham, co-building and democratising access to the spaces, tools and resources for a bold, imaginative, distributed transition, held in common with the neighbourhood.

Going sane in a crazy world

By Richard Heinberg, in Resilience.org….The consequences of our adoption of consumerist, growth-seeking industrialism will ultimately be a crash—hopefully only partial and temporary—of society and nature.

Environment

Extreme wildfires have doubled in frequency and intensity in the past 20 years

by Victor Fernandez Garcia & Christina Santin in Wired.com….The doubling in extreme wildfires adds to a complex picture of fire patterns and trends. This new evidence underscores the urgency of addressing the root causes behind worsening wildfire activity, such as land cover changes, forest policies and management, and, of course, climate change. This will better prepare us for these extreme fires, which are near-impossible to combat using traditional firefighting methods.

ECONOMY

Is there a future in the doomsday economy?

by Alexander Nazaryan in The New York Times….With Fortitude Ranch, the entrepreneur Drew Miller is betting on franchised timeshares for people who are worried about the end of the world.

Shrink the economy, save the world?

by Jennifer Szalai in The New York Times….Economic growth has been ecologically costly — and so a movement in favor of ‘degrowth’ is growing.

Politics

People

The transformative power of intersectionality

by Rana Zincir Celal…..The concept of intersectionality recognizes the multidimensionality of inequality and the interconnection of different forms
of discrimination. It analyzes the role, function and impact of
power structures on discrimination and privilege. An intersectional perspective can be used to draw attention to existing
systems of oppression in society and to challenge, break
through and change them. Intersectionality thus holds the
potential for promoting social justice, solidarity and fairness.

Love in the time of the polycrisis: 21new signs of emergence

by Susan Grelock Yusem in Commonweal.org…..As we live through extremes, like social turmoil, extreme weather, pandemic, and economic instability, we also hold complex emotional experiences: hope and despondency, courage and fear, joy and grief.

Community

Led by Its Youth, U.S. Sinks in World Happiness Report

For the first time since the first World Happiness Report was issued in 2012, the United States was not ranked among the world’s Top 20 happiest countries. The drop was driven by people under 30. The New York Times Read full article in The New York Times

‘Civilizations rise and fall’

by Evan Malmgren in Business Insider…Inside an off-grid community of families preparing for the downfall of America

Culture

An ancient Chinese text that’s surprisingly relevant today

by Richard Heinberg in Resilience.org….I’ll leave the last words to the Old Master, this time from the Bahm translation:
Whenever someone sets out to remold the world, experience teaches that he is bound to fail.
For Nature is already as good as it can be.
It cannot be improved upon.
He who tries to redesign it, spoils it.
He who tries to redirect it, misleads it.

Worldviews

Chartbook 297: The American migration crisis.

by Adam Tooze in Chartbook…As the World Migration Report for 2024 confirms, the Mexico-US border is by some margin the largest single corridor of country-to-country migration in the world.

Chartbook 297: The American migration crisis.

by Adam Tooze in Chartbook….As the World Migration Report for 2024 confirms, the Mexico-US border is by some margin the largest single corridor of country-to-country migration in the world.

Bookshelf

Grow that stack by your bedside — check out this selection of some of the most compelling work we’re reading.

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