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The view from Nairobi-Washington

by Tim Sahay and Kate Mackenzie in Phenomenal World…It is good for Southern elites to win such technology investments. But while the New Washington Consensus delivers full employment and trillions in deficit-financed welfarism and public investments in the North, the Nairobi-Washington vision for which Ruto is a stand-in is insufficient for fostering prosperity across the South—where debt-stressed countries with soaring joblessness are imposing class war austerity and privatization, amid Western intransigence in delivering touted financial architecture reforms.

Canada’s 2023 wildfires outsmoked global aviation, yet emissions go uncounted

by Liz Kimbrough in Mongabay….The climate crisis appears to be driving this trend toward more extreme fire seasons. Higher temperatures caused by climate change dry out the landscape and make forests more susceptible to fire. The researchers point out that Canada and other northern regions are warming up about twice as fast as the rest of the world.

The Strategic Foresight Book

by Ben Holt of IFRC Solferino Academy in The Strategic Foresight Book….Strategic foresight is a practical way to explore emerging issues and uncover new options for action. It helps us anticipate challenges, engage with uncertainty and sharpen our decision making. It is also a powerful way to connect with communities and imagine new possibilities.

How ocean warming is warping the world

by David Wallace-Wells in The New York Times….The vastness is also growing — not just because of melting Arctic and Antarctic ice, which could raise global sea levels by several feet this century and many more in the millenniums to come, but also because of what is known as “thermal expansion.” Heat expands the volume of water too and to date is responsible for at least one-third of all sea-level rise.

The disruption nexus

by Roman Krznaric in aeon.com….Polycrisis. Metacrisis. Omnicrisis. Permacrisis. Call it what you like. We are immersed in an age of extreme turbulence and interconnected global threats. The system is starting to flicker – chronic droughts, melting glaciers, far-Right extremism, AI risk, bioweapons, rising food and energy prices, rampant viruses, cyberattacks.

The climate is the economy

by Nitish Pahwa on Slate.com…Intensifying hurricanes, floods, and heat waves are wreaking havoc across the country—and on all of our bank accounts.